Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.263717 0.358481 0.463779 0.587302 0.726320 0.876293 1.048772
2025-07-20 0.148002 0.270544 0.424870 0.622610 0.860570 1.130791 1.454687
2025-07-27 0.105510 0.242252 0.429946 0.683258 0.999060 1.366757 1.815932
2025-08-03 0.070536 0.211363 0.423007 0.722787 1.108125 1.566110 2.134073
2025-08-10 0.039707 0.172615 0.395796 0.728718 1.169904 1.704647 2.377103
2025-08-17 0.012828 0.120299 0.336652 0.682995 1.159831 1.751451 2.507484
2025-08-24 0.001018 0.077274 0.279530 0.631177 1.135230 1.775385 2.606218
2025-08-31 NaN 0.053840 0.248969 0.613210 1.151968 1.848136 2.761794
2025-09-07 NaN 0.041427 0.236224 0.620435 1.201655 1.961710 2.966754
2025-09-14 NaN 0.028556 0.216714 0.613836 1.230199 2.046906 3.135718
2025-09-21 NaN 0.016932 0.192933 0.596625 1.241504 2.108287 3.273929
2025-09-28 NaN 0.014998 0.198400 0.630629 1.327203 2.267462 3.535146
2025-10-05 NaN 0.013708 0.207008 0.673001 1.429377 2.453857 3.837911
2025-10-12 NaN 0.011781 0.212393 0.709924 1.524546 2.632472 4.132919
2025-10-19 NaN 0.013274 0.232853 0.775115 1.661835 2.867090 4.498765
2025-10-26 NaN 0.012126 0.241060 0.817252 1.764836 3.056269 4.807376
2025-11-02 NaN 0.007783 0.230863 0.823602 1.813755 3.173013 5.023935
2025-11-09 NaN 0.001692 0.194284 0.774771 1.777016 3.173432 5.091315
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.157674 0.719319 1.726473 3.152745 5.129730
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.139722 0.700057 1.730466 3.204906 5.260471
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.134107 0.707804 1.777173 3.315738 5.467139
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.122863 0.700729 1.799235 3.392028 5.628677
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.107984 0.682262 1.801562 3.440165 5.753047